0xFFB
0x6a9c5df6eeeb931dca9fef62c4ccaa1a5f32ba1d
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $20.5k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $65.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar14.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 song this week? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.635 | $29.16 | −$8.50 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.441 | 0.360 | $28.80 | −$6.50 |
| Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · No | 0.070 | 0.065 | $3.71 | −$0.29 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-10-03? · No | 0.120 | 0.115 | $3.67 | −$0.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.560Will Usyk beat Fury?
- +$234.71at 0.556Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
- +$157.78at 0.133Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$149.75at 0.400Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
- +$93.63at 0.576Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:22 | Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.069999999 | $4.00 |
| 09-27 08:23 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.1199999987 | $3.83 |
| 09-26 17:23 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | SELL | 0.4687086237 | $21.52 |
| 07-19 21:43 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.0775 | $46.72 |
| 07-19 19:20 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3924999995 | $236.60 |
| 07-14 21:08 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | SELL | 0.9975 | $221.66 |
| 07-14 20:23 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.875 | $6.89 |
| 07-14 20:23 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | SELL | 0.025 | $6.71 |
| 07-14 19:49 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.5524999984 | $118.43 |
| 07-14 18:15 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.3724999988 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 18:05 | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BUY | 0.004 | $4.60 |
| 07-07 22:00 | Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic | SELL | 0.999 | $158.05 |
| 07-07 18:29 | Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.5599999997 | $88.60 |
| 07-03 18:43 | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BUY | 0.025 | $11.00 |
| 06-26 22:20 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? | SELL | 0.0052236199 | $0.71 |