yl99
0x6a9b8077bfc70604f362ba3bec9b419089ae2333
- Realised P&L
- $-28.96
- Volume
- $70.6k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $120.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $31.00 | +$0.03 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $31.00 | +$0.06 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $23.00 | +$0.07 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.575 | $14.38 | +$3.13 |
| Will BNB dip to $400 in September? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $11.00 | +$0.02 |
| Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.680 | $10.20 | −$3.30 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? · No | 0.981 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.79 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) · Team Secret Whales | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.66 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 16? · Up | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.96 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? · Up | 0.496 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.33at 0.360Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$11.22at 0.570Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$11.09at 0.560Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
- +$7.20at 0.570LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)
- +$3.60at 0.280Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 17:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.97 |
| 09-21 17:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $30.94 |
| 09-21 17:26 | Will BNB dip to $400 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.98 |
| 09-21 17:25 | Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.45 | $11.25 |
| 09-21 17:25 | Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $13.50 |
| 09-21 17:24 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September? | BUY | 0.997 | $22.93 |
| 09-21 17:24 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 05-14 17:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May? | BUY | 0.993 | $13.90 |
| 05-14 17:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 11-17? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.97 |
| 05-14 17:12 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $54.84 |
| 05-14 17:12 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $10.90 |
| 05-14 17:11 | Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $21.93 |
| 05-14 17:10 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $14.97 |
| 05-14 17:10 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 05-14 17:10 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $14.97 |