joino
0x6a892a6e8f874b537cf20a2e013ebbe2d0ab2f26
- Realised P&L
- $-190.2k
- Volume
- $2.72M
- Markets traded
- 757
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded757
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Islanders vs. Senators · Islanders | 0.400 | 0.395 | $1.2k | −$15.00 |
| Utah vs. Oilers · Utah | 0.510 | 0.515 | $999.10 | +$9.70 |
| Oilers vs. Capitals · Oilers | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.3k |
| Capitals vs. Flames · Flames | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$430.00 |
| Will Pittsburgh Penguins advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs? · Yes | 0.587 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$290.00 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Oilers · Oilers | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$620.00 |
| Kings vs. Panthers · Kings | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.1k |
| Ducks vs. Wild · Ducks | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$56.00 |
| Islanders vs. Sabres · Islanders | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Bruins vs. Islanders · Islanders | 0.597 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.4k |
| Blues vs. Panthers · Panthers | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$630.00 |
| Hurricanes vs. Sabres · Hurricanes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.7k |
| Wild vs. Oilers · Oilers | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$550.00 |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens · Avalanche | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$540.00 |
| Islanders vs. Canadiens · Islanders | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$225.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.9kat 0.339Devils vs. Sharks
- +$5.9kat 0.338Islanders vs. Capitals
- +$5.8kat 0.360Kraken vs. Maple Leafs
- +$5.8kat 0.360Avalanche vs. Wild
- +$5.8kat 0.360Blue Jackets vs. Stars
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 18:40 | Utah vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.51 | $217.03 |
| 10-14 13:38 | Canadiens vs. Capitals | BUY | 0.46 | $12.56 |
| 10-13 14:27 | Wild vs. Jets | BUY | 0.49 | $49.59 |
| 10-11 22:00 | Canucks vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 10-10 23:24 | Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 07-12 02:37 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.845 | $169.00 |
| 07-04 16:25 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.84 | $168.00 |
| 05-22 16:05 | Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.8146342667 | $977.56 |
| 05-04 14:50 | Will Vegas Golden Knights advance to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NHL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.66 | $4.32 |
| 05-02 23:25 | Will Carolina Hurricanes advance to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NHL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.77 | $770.00 |
| 05-01 23:27 | Sabres vs. Bruins | BUY | 0.54 | $54.54 |
| 05-01 14:16 | Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.962 | $481.00 |
| 04-23 20:44 | Avalanche vs. Kings | BUY | 0.41 | $39.94 |
| 04-23 20:44 | Sabres vs. Bruins | BUY | 0.49 | $47.98 |
| 04-20 21:33 | Wild vs. Stars | BUY | 0.56 | $55.07 |