ABRips
0x6a820dabf42a818cd7848d4bede1f6783dd2fe12
- Realised P&L
- $240.28
- Volume
- $18.4k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $5.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.351 | 0.245 | $2.6k | −$1.1k |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.489 | 0.385 | $1.6k | −$424.14 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.245 | $644.74 | −$355.26 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No | 0.380 | 0.285 | $487.50 | −$162.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$463.74at 0.397Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
- +$80.91at 0.649Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
- +$35.32at 0.584Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
- +$12.96at 0.570Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?
- +$1.79at 0.918Will Kyle Freeman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 04:43 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999998 | $500.00 |
| 10-31 04:43 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4886227678 | $2.0k |
| 10-25 05:21 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3743010863 | $2.5k |
| 10-22 15:09 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $750.00 |
| 10-09 04:37 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.38 | $650.00 |
| 10-09 04:35 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999999 | $1000.00 |
| 10-09 04:35 | Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.3899999996 | $300.00 |
| 01-21 00:51 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | SELL | 0.1160896667 | $69.65 |
| 01-21 00:50 | Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $32.96 |
| 12-25 01:45 | Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | SELL | 0.996 | $85.32 |
| 12-25 01:44 | Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $230.90 |
| 12-16 02:45 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.31 |
| 12-03 07:12 | Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | BUY | 0.6031541986 | $100.00 |
| 12-03 07:12 | Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | BUY | 0.649999999 | $100.00 |
| 12-03 07:11 | Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | BUY | 0.5836575872 | $50.00 |