PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6a7a02103b97dd1ccc4ed402fffb8bf67ea66c9a

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$344.6k
Markets traded
1,234
Open portfolio
$79.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,234
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes0.0900.013$30.19$171.10
Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by August 31? · No0.6101.000$21.99+$8.58
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? · Yes0.3300.090$8.18$21.82
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6800.895$7.57+$1.82
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.2801.000$3.93+$2.83
Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026? · Yes0.1700.105$3.67$2.27
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4600.595$1.30+$0.29
Iran successfully targets shipping by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.9001.000$1.22+$0.12
Spread: Bayer Leverkusen (-2.5) · FC Carl Zeiss Jena0.5300.500$1.04$0.06
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0080.004$0.60$0.50
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$1.10
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$0.03
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 06:35Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 6?BUY0.0599999498$1.10
08-06 06:25Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 6?BUY0.06$0.96
08-06 06:14Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 6?SELL0.993$1.33
08-06 06:02Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 6?SELL0.61$0.35
08-06 06:01Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 6?SELL0.59$0.15
08-06 06:00Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 6?SELL0.6$0.16
08-06 05:58Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 6?BUY0.629999792$1.03
08-06 05:54Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 6?BUY0.04$0.92
08-06 05:51Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6?SELL0.35$0.64
08-06 05:49Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6?SELL0.38$1.50
08-06 05:22Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6?BUY0.0599999498$1.10
08-06 05:16Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 6?BUY0.08$1.04
08-06 05:14Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 6?SELL0.88$0.16
08-06 05:14Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 6?SELL0.843$1.70
08-06 05:03Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C or higher on August 6?BUY0.005$1.10