0x6a6989bbec2c9f87c542f5b0fa23a20e109d4df5
0x6a6989bbec2c9f87c542f5b0fa23a20e109d4df5
- Realised P&L
- $-5.04
- Volume
- $85.01
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $2.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day? · No | 0.720 | 0.976 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
| Will Meta (META) close at $730-$740 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.230 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.19at 0.321Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.339Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$1.91at 0.351Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?
- +$0.80at 0.562Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
- +$0.52at 0.659Will Trump say "Radical Left" during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 19:14 | Will Meta (META) close at $730-$740 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 11:02 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 03:01 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 05:47 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 21:45 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 23:54 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:12 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 11:55 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 13:13 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 00:23 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 16:23 | Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in September 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 08:22 | Will Trump say "Radical Left" during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 00:20 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:15 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 18:30 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |