Mia129735373055
0x6a683dddeac1ede28fc4b74fc5df9c8092b62fa7
- Realised P&L
- $-21.11
- Volume
- $857.95
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $0.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Life Insurance Corporation of India be the largest Indian company? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.025 | $0.25 | −$0.26 |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal? · Yes | 0.428 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.56 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.00at 0.500Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$-0.01at 0.987Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$-0.02at 0.850Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$-1.61at 0.129Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
- +$-2.45at 0.437Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 02:23 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? | SELL | 0.8477591973 | $101.39 |
| 07-12 00:40 | Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | SELL | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 07-11 23:20 | Will Life Insurance Corporation of India be the largest Indian company? | SELL | 0.073 | $1.47 |
| 07-11 23:00 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? | SELL | 0.1130887574 | $11.47 |
| 07-11 22:46 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? | SELL | 0.825 | $92.15 |
| 11-21 10:03 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.986 | $4.93 |
| 11-21 10:03 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.987 | $4.93 |
| 11-07 10:04 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-14 09:17 | Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.97 |
| 10-14 09:16 | Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |