0x6a647f53cc94e80c8cb42c9b8b263dfac96b4b2b
0x6a647f53cc94e80c8cb42c9b8b263dfac96b4b2b
- Realised P&L
- $11.56
- Volume
- $160.91
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $3.27
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 Week of October 19 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.730 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.605 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.575 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.245 | $0.37 | −$0.63 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.100 | $0.21 | −$0.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.32at 0.237Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 12 2026?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$2.00at 0.339S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 15:46 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 07:16 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 23:16 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 12:14 | Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 01:08 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 15:44 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 04:20 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699996918 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 08:18 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $207 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 00:02 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 03:15 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 07:14 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 on October 14? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 23:06 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 01:27 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 23:03 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 12:15 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |