0x6A5E3f632F4FD22D0509f077999d978294983A6D-1771148276521
0x6a5e3f632f4fd22d0509f077999d978294983a6d
- Realised P&L
- $2.56
- Volume
- $321.31
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $8.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.915 | $8.51 | +$0.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.73at 0.517Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$2.04at 0.710US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$0.15at 0.629S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15?
- +$0.10at 0.865S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 14?
- +$0.05at 0.982Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 07:16 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15? | SELL | 0.73 | $1.18 |
| 09-15 07:12 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.2882142857 | $16.14 |
| 09-15 05:59 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 02:59 | Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.8599999935 | $8.00 |
| 09-14 13:03 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 14? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.10 |
| 09-14 06:53 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 06:51 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.86 |
| 09-11 02:06 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 05-26 04:30 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.1610763446 | $5.00 |
| 03-16 04:49 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 03-16 04:46 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 02-20 10:08 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 02-19 01:48 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9819999293 | $3.00 |