PolyBot

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Traders

0x6a5dbfd2169e24717832b2f98f6fd894e7a53076

0x6a5dbfd2169e24717832b2f98f6fd894e7a53076

Realised P&L
$14.71
Volume
$784.42
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$16.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 11? · Yes0.2600.230$8.84−$1.15
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 10? · Yes0.3400.965$7.40+$4.79
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 7? · No0.4600.000$0.00−$2.41
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 4? · No0.5100.000$0.00−$3.74
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 6? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$3.82
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 9? · Yes0.3950.000$0.00−$10.14
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 9? · No0.6500.000$0.00−$4.00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 2? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$2.47
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on October 10? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$1.44
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 9? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$2.80
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on October 7? · No0.7000.000$0.00−$4.56
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 4? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.40
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 7? · No0.4730.000$0.00−$0.63
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 9? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$3.60
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 1? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$2.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 17:19Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 8?SELL0.998$5.29
10-08 15:58Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 8?SELL0.999$5.00
10-08 05:06Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8?BUY0.67$4.36
10-08 04:01Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8?BUY0.2844633605$3.84
10-08 00:15Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 7?SELL0.999$5.00
10-08 00:12Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 7?SELL0.999$5.00
10-08 00:10Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 7?SELL0.999$5.00
10-07 23:34Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 7?SELL0.995$4.97
10-07 12:13Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 7?SELL0.999$5.00
10-07 10:30Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 7?BUY0.3973870968$4.93
10-07 09:29Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on October 7?BUY0.7$4.56
10-07 08:33Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 7?SELL0.15$0.91
10-07 08:22Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 7?SELL0.999$5.00
10-07 03:38Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 7?SELL0.999$6.99
10-07 03:30Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 7?SELL0.18$1.00