0x6a5dbfd2169e24717832b2f98f6fd894e7a53076
0x6a5dbfd2169e24717832b2f98f6fd894e7a53076
- Realised P&L
- $14.71
- Volume
- $784.42
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $16.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.22at 0.413Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 7?
- +$6.78at 0.372Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 10?
- +$6.72at 0.502Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 6?
- +$6.33at 0.442Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 8?
- +$6.25at 0.372Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 17:19 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.29 |
| 10-08 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.67 | $4.36 |
| 10-08 04:01 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.2844633605 | $3.84 |
| 10-08 00:15 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 00:12 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 23:34 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 7? | SELL | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 10-07 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 10:30 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.3973870968 | $4.93 |
| 10-07 09:29 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.7 | $4.56 |
| 10-07 08:33 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.91 |
| 10-07 08:22 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 03:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.99 |
| 10-07 03:30 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.00 |