vgbhyn
0x6a4f2387de11da7fd1780cb46cefda7a919567e7
- Realised P&L
- $-482.91
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $58.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-20.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be above $95 on September 12? · Yes | 0.942 | 1.000 | $34.77 | +$2.02 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 21? · Yes | 0.994 | 1.000 | $24.13 | +$0.13 |
| Ukraine vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$606.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.51at 0.840Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 8m?
- +$35.31at 0.930Spread: CD Tolima (-2.5)
- +$1.10at 0.932Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on July 6?
- +$0.76at 0.945Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?
- +$0.67at 0.987Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-20 15:46 | Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | SELL | 0.953 | $118.74 |
| 03-20 15:45 | Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.955 | $119.00 |