hyna
0x6a444cf0855cccd4d4930946306bba6fd0af2ef1
- Realised P&L
- $-11.91
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $22.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.428 | 0.515 | $13.24 | +$2.24 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.475 | $4.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.445 | $4.45 | −$0.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.72at 0.113Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$10.81at 0.730Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
- +$7.32at 0.487Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
- +$6.28at 0.617Will France win on 2026-06-26?
- +$5.99at 0.686Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 03:02 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $4.00 |
| 09-28 02:17 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999667 | $7.00 |
| 09-27 06:02 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 05:59 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 05:58 | Will Austria win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6099999451 | $4.00 |
| 09-27 05:55 | Will Denmark win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 05:50 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 17:11 | Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4599999563 | $4.00 |
| 09-25 03:05 | Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 02:55 | Will France win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 05:06 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $6.00 |
| 09-23 02:08 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $17.00 |
| 09-18 07:27 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 07:17 | Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 06:48 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |