Mongoose80
0x6a43e55b5867f80a6c476242ca1667eb03aaa472
- Realised P&L
- $-648.04
- Volume
- $19.0k
- Markets traded
- 226
- Open portfolio
- $49.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded226
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.26at 0.408Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?
- +$48.21at 0.457Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 26?
- +$26.49at 0.117Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?
- +$26.30at 0.220Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 20?
- +$25.23at 0.680Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 20:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | SELL | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 09:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.40 |
| 09-19 08:41 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 19? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.90 |
| 09-18 19:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | SELL | 0.21 | $17.85 |
| 09-18 07:45 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 21? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 09-17 23:00 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in September? | BUY | 0.79 | $11.85 |
| 09-17 22:56 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 19? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 09-15 22:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 22? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 09-15 22:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 22? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 22:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.77 | $42.35 |
| 09-15 20:12 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September? | BUY | 0.61 | $15.25 |
| 09-15 20:09 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 16? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 22:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 19? | BUY | 0.85 | $12.75 |
| 09-13 21:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.77 | $23.10 |
| 09-13 21:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.6 | $18.00 |