xiaoff
0x6a43abe25761162cfb3cafc6c53c1cffac1826ba
- Realised P&L
- $323.58
- Volume
- $75.0k
- Markets traded
- 943
- Open portfolio
- $40.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded943
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$102.80at 0.403Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 21?
- +$81.69at 0.313Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 21?
- +$62.86at 0.578Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?
- +$62.39at 0.376Will GenG qualify to MSI 2026?
- +$60.88at 0.229Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.05 |
| 09-30 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.32 | $9.60 |
| 09-30 12:54 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.45 | $11.25 |
| 09-30 12:46 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.053 | $0.79 |
| 09-30 12:27 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.056 | $0.30 |
| 09-30 12:26 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.059 | $0.29 |
| 09-30 12:25 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.35 | $4.09 |
| 09-30 12:21 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.048 | $0.77 |
| 09-30 10:51 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.0370341429 | $2.59 |
| 09-30 09:24 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.41 | $4.17 |
| 09-30 08:26 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 09-30 08:26 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 09-30 06:38 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.19 | $11.40 |
| 09-29 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.90 |
| 09-29 14:29 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.2225012506 | $8.90 |