addb
0x6a41602dca3f275ca10638c99b1cce5829807cf8
- Realised P&L
- $-73.54
- Volume
- $108.0k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $30.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.002 | $25.68 | −$89.89 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 5? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.16 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 5? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.16 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on September 5? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.16 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on September 5? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.15 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.79at 0.007Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$1.45at 0.978Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$0.41at 0.989MetaMask airdrop in 2024?
- +$0.33at 0.613Liverpool wins the Premier League?
- +$0.08at 0.981LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 03:52 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on September 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.15 |
| 09-05 03:52 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on September 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.16 |
| 09-05 03:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 5? | BUY | 0.9989992766 | $1.16 |
| 09-05 03:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.16 |
| 08-10 08:49 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.9989992913 | $1.17 |
| 08-10 08:48 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.16 |
| 08-10 08:46 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.9989991826 | $1.10 |
| 08-10 08:46 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.9979994611 | $1.10 |
| 08-10 08:44 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier | SELL | 0.999 | $4.54 |
| 08-10 08:33 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier | BUY | 0.98 | $4.45 |
| 06-28 02:25 | Will "The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.05 |
| 06-28 02:23 | Will "Habibti - Drake" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.03 |
| 06-28 02:23 | Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.03 |
| 06-28 02:23 | Will "The Great Divide - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.03 |
| 05-04 10:08 | Will TurboTax: File Your Tax Return be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5? | BUY | 0.9969999992 | $1.19 |