Btc-chief
0x6a3a7ce42c48627bad06e91f8a1a6c45f8d03374
- Realised P&L
- $10.26
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 261
- Open portfolio
- $25.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded261
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.61at 0.309Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
- +$4.37at 0.303Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$4.29at 0.325Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
- +$3.55at 0.169Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
- +$3.52at 0.700Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.04 |
| 09-16 21:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.91 |
| 09-16 18:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2PM ET | SELL | 0.6 | $1.82 |
| 09-16 18:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 14:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 13:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 14:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | SELL | 0.43 | $2.87 |
| 09-15 14:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 14:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 14:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 13:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | SELL | 0.17 | $1.19 |
| 09-15 13:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15? | SELL | 0.06 | $2.25 |
| 09-15 12:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 12:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 14? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.75 |
| 09-14 09:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |