PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

flyflash

0x6a3941f30239b87ff31966d9dcdbb914be93cf39

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$166.7k
Markets traded
2,173
Open portfolio
$2.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,173
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 21? · Yes0.5300.990$2.05+$0.95
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 21? · Yes0.0200.004$0.15$0.62
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 21? · Yes0.0390.001$0.02$1.78
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 21? · Yes0.0300.001$0.02$1.03
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 21? · Yes0.2800.001$0.00$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 21? · Yes0.1700.001$0.00$0.85
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 24? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25? · Yes0.2430.000$0.00$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or higher on September 3? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.37
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score · No0.5700.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 43°C on July 21? · Yes0.2770.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on September 5? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 8? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on August 29? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 04:59Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 21?BUY0.0389999995$1.00
09-21 04:54Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 21?SELL0.34$0.79
09-21 04:53Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 21?SELL0.04$0.40
09-21 00:35Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20?BUY0.23$1.15
09-21 00:35Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 21?SELL0.5$1.07
09-21 00:32Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20?BUY0.19$0.95
09-21 00:32Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 21?SELL0.52$1.06
09-21 00:29Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 21?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-21 00:28Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 21?BUY0.07$0.70
09-21 00:27Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 21?BUY0.04$0.80
09-21 00:27Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 21?BUY0.5299999229$1.10
09-20 23:02Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 21?BUY0.2799999925$1.50
09-20 23:01Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 21?BUY0.5099999397$1.10
09-20 23:01Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 21?BUY0.17$0.85
09-20 22:57Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 20?SELL0.95$2.11
Trader flyflash · PolyBot Pro