flyflash
0x6a3941f30239b87ff31966d9dcdbb914be93cf39
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $166.7k
- Markets traded
- 2,173
- Open portfolio
- $2.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,173
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$119.93at 0.072Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?
- +$85.14at 0.029Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 12?
- +$58.97at 0.017Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 19?
- +$57.78at 0.040Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 5?
- +$46.89at 0.305Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 04:59 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0389999995 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 04:54 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.79 |
| 09-21 04:53 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.40 |
| 09-21 00:35 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 09-21 00:35 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.5 | $1.07 |
| 09-21 00:32 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 09-21 00:32 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.52 | $1.06 |
| 09-21 00:29 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 00:28 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.70 |
| 09-21 00:27 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 09-21 00:27 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.5299999229 | $1.10 |
| 09-20 23:02 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.2799999925 | $1.50 |
| 09-20 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.5099999397 | $1.10 |
| 09-20 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.17 | $0.85 |
| 09-20 22:57 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 20? | SELL | 0.95 | $2.11 |