Damir22
0x6a2c4f4674fe27b457c39fc2cface60f39777114
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $211.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-26.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.973 | $51.74 | +$1.75 |
| Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · No | 0.962 | 0.933 | $47.23 | −$1.44 |
| Hurupay FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.982 | 0.923 | $46.77 | −$2.96 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.855 | $43.02 | −$4.28 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-20 House seat? · Yes | 0.969 | 0.970 | $22.60 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.70at 0.816Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$1.53at 0.970Will Tim Greimel be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?
- +$1.52at 0.929Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?
- +$1.07at 0.940Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$1.03at 0.960Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 08:40 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.8086048992 | $40.93 |