0x6a2c202c8afd4b0b0a39058ddb784a82d49faa78
0x6a2c202c8afd4b0b0a39058ddb784a82d49faa78
- Realised P&L
- $-6.17
- Volume
- $89.78
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $3.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.972 | $1.59 | +$0.59 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.775 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.380 | $0.51 | −$0.49 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.017 | $0.05 | −$0.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.54at 0.400WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?
- +$1.42at 0.420Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during remarks in New York?
- +$1.30at 0.440SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?
- +$1.02at 0.500Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?
- +$1.00at 0.500US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 22:51 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 11:02 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 02:45 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 15:08 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 05:33 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 09:31 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $175 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 00:41 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 23:40 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 20:41 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 22:18 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 07:17 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 09:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 00:54 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 4? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 01:23 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 07:50 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in August? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |