sockersot
0x6a207a0502aa15a4fee3dbe0d89bcc978bf15499
- Realised P&L
- $-4.21
- Volume
- $82.97
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $0.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.070 | $0.92 | −$0.13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.17at 0.136Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 18?
- +$-0.32at 0.208Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 18?
- +$-0.65at 0.136Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 19?
- +$-0.95at 0.208Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 08:49 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.05 |
| 09-17 18:39 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.99 |
| 09-17 18:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 09-17 18:39 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.49 |
| 09-17 18:39 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 09-17 08:35 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.1299999879 | $1.07 |
| 09-17 07:26 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 07:26 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.1299999879 | $1.07 |
| 09-17 02:56 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.14 |
| 09-16 23:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.1699999922 | $1.09 |
| 09-16 21:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.01 |
| 09-16 21:22 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.1099999925 | $1.03 |