PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

EffectiveDivisor

0x6a1f4e89322c5e9b110644990bdfe15f92432ab4

Realised P&L
$-806.99
Volume
$5.1k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$172.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-15.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.7230.895$158.94+$30.54
Will the UK Budget include a land value tax? · No0.8100.830$8.30+$0.20
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.2940.115$5.75$8.95
Will Torsten Bell be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$0.60
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? · Yes0.1640.000$0.00$20.76
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? · No0.3040.000$0.00$17.04
Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.8100.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 08:15Will the UK Budget include a land value tax?BUY0.81$8.10
09-18 22:32Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax?BUY0.51$35.36
09-09 00:39Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?SELL0.67$0.34
09-08 22:32Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?BUY0.77$7.70
09-08 22:29Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?BUY0.77$4.62
09-08 15:59Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.52$10.40
09-05 16:12Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.37$11.10
09-01 10:39Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?BUY0.68$4.18
09-01 10:38Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?BUY0.68$9.28
09-01 05:55Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?SELL0.001$0.04
08-31 12:53Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?BUY0.15$2.25
08-31 04:37Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?BUY0.15$3.00
08-30 00:16Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.47$18.80
08-29 09:38Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?SELL0.38$11.02
08-28 06:06Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?BUY0.35$1.75