0x6a17a5D0DA6677B7EB7342bF5cDAf7bE9E4ad13e-1772573325769
0x6a17a5d0da6677b7eb7342bf5cdaf7be9e4ad13e
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $377.4k
- Markets traded
- 483
- Open portfolio
- $62.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded483
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in September? · No | 0.690 | 0.725 | $62.82 | +$3.03 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$67.44 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026? · No | 0.637 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$441.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 6? · Yes | 0.104 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.203Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 June 1-7?
- +$896.58at 0.563Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?
- +$622.34at 0.541Will XRP reach $1.60 in August?
- +$601.58at 0.356Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?
- +$448.11at 0.504Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 16:11 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in September? | BUY | 0.6899999993 | $59.79 |
| 09-29 16:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.62 | $61.99 |
| 09-29 15:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.6299999999 | $62.99 |
| 09-29 15:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.27 | $50.84 |
| 09-29 15:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | SELL | 0.3111653368 | $16.77 |
| 09-29 11:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.5099999986 | $96.04 |
| 09-29 11:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.64 | $34.49 |
| 09-29 11:14 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in September? | SELL | 0.53 | $36.11 |
| 09-29 05:42 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in September? | BUY | 0.7099999965 | $48.38 |
| 09-28 12:23 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.1803231232 | $50.39 |
| 09-26 11:46 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.7208888748 | $201.46 |
| 09-26 11:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27? | SELL | 0.94 | $204.53 |
| 09-25 15:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.8199999994 | $178.42 |
| 09-25 11:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27? | SELL | 0.9065868263 | $181.68 |
| 09-25 04:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.7192515066 | $144.14 |