0x6a169e77c603bb98393a6f7214fb462b39896d55
- Realised P&L
- $54.56
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $74.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes | 0.371 | 0.315 | $39.38 | −$6.99 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.131 | $20.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.145 | $15.54 | +$0.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.28at 0.250Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-25?
- +$63.97at 0.143Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 17-23?
- +$45.02at 0.373Winston-Salem Open: Sebastian Gorzny vs Cruz Hewitt
- +$37.70at 0.322Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
- +$36.26at 0.414Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 17:20 | Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1899999951 | $26.56 |
| 08-28 21:24 | Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi | BUY | 0.3299999946 | $28.91 |
| 08-28 20:39 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.3899999793 | $11.32 |
| 08-28 20:34 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-28? | SELL | 0.1 | $12.30 |
| 08-28 20:18 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-28? | BUY | 0.2 | $24.60 |
| 08-28 20:18 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-28? | BUY | 0.4599999983 | $26.60 |
| 08-25 20:34 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-25? | BUY | 0.24 | $24.42 |
| 08-25 16:07 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.143 | $16.58 |
| 08-25 16:07 | Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.370922514 | $46.37 |
| 08-24 21:26 | Winston-Salem Open: Sebastian Gorzny vs Cruz Hewitt | BUY | 0.3599999928 | $25.86 |
| 08-24 16:32 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.3999191756 | $24.74 |
| 08-24 14:15 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | BUY | 0.5099999925 | $26.38 |
| 08-22 17:39 | Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 1 AC Monza? | BUY | 0.2799999915 | $19.79 |
| 08-22 17:36 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.2399999794 | $7.00 |
| 08-22 17:13 | AC Monza leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.0350000002 | $6.97 |