Estoico
0x6a167dc3b9c2ef083e8331e1c126220de8cfa9fd
- Realised P&L
- $-33.27
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $70.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.57at 0.140Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
- +$-0.08at 0.003Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$-0.52at 0.005Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$-0.90at 0.028Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$-1.80at 0.035Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 19:37 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999951 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 07:02 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 07:01 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 21:05 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.1639999993 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 07:44 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 17:12 | Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 07:45 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 16:14 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 06:49 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0496563779 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 18:30 | Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0022514578 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 18:25 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0489999982 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 18:13 | Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0043591029 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 09:21 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $4.97 |
| 09-30 01:27 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $4.00 |
| 09-28 15:35 | Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0239999998 | $2.00 |