PolyBot

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Traders

Estoico

0x6a167dc3b9c2ef083e8331e1c126220de8cfa9fd

Realised P&L
$-33.27
Volume
$5.0k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$70.81

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1610.105$42.32−$22.64
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0970.042$23.89−$31.11
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0490.051$2.05+$0.05
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes0.1450.113$1.55−$0.45
Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.1000.075$0.75−$0.25
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? · No0.2700.065$0.24−$0.76
Will Iran target Iraq by October 22, 2026? · No0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.2740.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$3.00
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? · Yes0.3230.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 19:37Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.1099999951$2.00
10-30 07:02Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.149999997$5.00
10-30 07:01Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
10-26 21:05Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.1639999993$1.00
10-24 07:44US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-22 17:12Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
10-19 07:45Will Iran target Iraq by October 22, 2026?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-18 16:14Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999983$1.00
10-15 06:49Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0496563779$1.00
10-09 18:30Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.0022514578$1.00
10-01 18:25Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0489999982$1.00
10-01 18:13Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.0043591029$2.00
09-30 09:21Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.2399999923$4.97
09-30 01:27Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.2099999895$4.00
09-28 15:35Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0239999998$2.00