Estoico
0x6a167dc3b9c2ef083e8331e1c126220de8cfa9fd
- Realised P&L
- $-58.15
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $56.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.57at 0.140Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
- +$-0.08at 0.003Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$-0.52at 0.005Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$-0.90at 0.028Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$-1.80at 0.035Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 10:22 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 07:06 | Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 07:36 | Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 07:35 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.67 |
| 09-09 14:06 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.00 |
| 09-07 16:14 | Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.0766400981 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 15:57 | Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 17:12 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 17:11 | Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 20:12 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005999994 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 11:13 | Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0857142784 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 11:26 | Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 08:01 | Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999688 | $2.00 |
| 08-27 08:05 | Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999627 | $3.00 |
| 08-27 08:05 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |