0x6A1526f887Ef120098eBB1CA2d3e50047A0745Be-1771414469288
0x6a1526f887ef120098ebb1ca2d3e50047a0745be
- Realised P&L
- $-20.59
- Volume
- $42.1k
- Markets traded
- 265
- Open portfolio
- $17.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded265
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$237.96at 0.706Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
- +$183.83at 0.551Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
- +$180.78at 0.605Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
- +$162.70at 0.541Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
- +$160.07at 0.535Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:47 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 12:44 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $60.00 |
| 07-15 14:04 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 07-03 00:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 23:59 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 07-02 23:58 | Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.1299999929 | $15.00 |
| 06-02 09:23 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.00 |
| 06-01 12:10 | Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.1823620177 | $20.00 |
| 05-17 21:43 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $29.00 |
| 05-13 16:53 | Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.18 |
| 05-12 10:03 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.1349999731 | $5.00 |
| 05-06 12:26 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.32 | $20.00 |
| 05-06 12:26 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 05-06 12:24 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 05-06 09:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | BUY | 0.19 | $1.14 |