0x6a13a502fa4e54b08c4183586459ecbc0081fae2
0x6a13a502fa4e54b08c4183586459ecbc0081fae2
- Realised P&L
- $30.37
- Volume
- $55.20
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $116.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar55.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-2.5) · Virginia Tech | 0.500 | 0.775 | $44.08 | +$15.64 |
| Spread: Illinois (-8.5) · Illinois | 0.500 | 0.545 | $25.28 | +$2.09 |
| Rams vs. Eagles · Rams | 0.500 | 0.635 | $23.76 | +$5.05 |
| Browns vs. Jets · Browns | 0.500 | 0.465 | $23.28 | −$1.75 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.59 |
| China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea · Arthur Gea | 0.446 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.94at 0.500Steelers vs. Browns
- +$15.81at 0.500Columbus: Bryce Nakashima vs Keegan Smith
- +$5.08at 0.500Wild vs. Predators
- +$4.63at 0.500Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5
- +$1.67at 0.500Columbus: Stefan Kozlov vs Mitchell Krueger
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 13:27 | China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 10-02 13:13 | China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 10-01 20:41 | Columbus: Stefan Kozlov vs Mitchell Krueger | SELL | 0.999 | $3.34 |
| 10-01 17:36 | Columbus: Bryce Nakashima vs Keegan Smith | SELL | 0.999 | $31.66 |