0x6a138d57caf7c183481c9bf42076548b6c1e36f5
0x6a138d57caf7c183481c9bf42076548b6c1e36f5
- Realised P&L
- $-11.82
- Volume
- $370.68
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $50.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.243 | 0.773 | $26.48 | +$18.16 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.188 | 0.141 | $6.45 | −$2.20 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.081 | $5.19 | +$0.82 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.795 | $4.44 | +$0.42 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.810 | 1.000 | $2.96 | +$0.56 |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.375 | $2.81 | +$0.41 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.180 | 0.075 | $2.00 | −$2.80 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.069 | $0.51 | −$0.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-11.82at 0.068Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 10:32 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $1.20 |
| 09-22 09:53 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $1.20 |
| 09-22 09:50 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.244 | $1.19 |
| 09-22 09:45 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.243 | $1.19 |
| 09-22 09:45 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.243 | $1.19 |
| 09-22 09:45 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.242 | $1.18 |
| 09-22 09:45 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.243 | $1.19 |
| 09-22 09:45 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.243 | $1.19 |
| 09-22 09:45 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.243 | $1.19 |
| 09-21 12:28 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.902 | $0.10 |
| 09-21 12:28 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.922 | $0.13 |
| 09-21 11:16 | Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.20 |
| 09-21 10:54 | Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.20 |
| 09-21 10:49 | Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.069 | $1.17 |
| 09-17 21:37 | Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0690057678 | $0.96 |