TheRainGodofRKSI
0x6a03e8615eda1733a0c6c0815567f35dc44b84af
- Realised P&L
- $3.2k
- Volume
- $387.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,010
- Open portfolio
- $100.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,010
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.092Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on March 29?
- +$899.99at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 25?
- +$849.99at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 4?
- +$790.62at 0.087Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 23?
- +$470.00at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2489619119 | $66.67 |
| 08-04 05:50 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2299994757 | $43.87 |
| 08-04 05:50 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.22 | $12.52 |
| 08-04 04:38 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.12 | $3.29 |
| 08-04 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.7095409646 | $24.42 |
| 08-04 04:31 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1645215486 | $4.50 |
| 08-04 04:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.6915033073 | $115.00 |
| 08-04 04:13 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4826008452 | $62.81 |
| 08-04 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4565540541 | $67.57 |
| 08-04 03:56 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.89 |
| 08-04 03:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.46 | $23.00 |
| 08-04 02:48 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3950416909 | $61.12 |
| 08-04 01:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.93 |
| 08-04 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.28 |
| 08-04 00:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.51 |