Tappyflight
0x69fc66bcae8afdc4e61060f962115bb2bcd9c7da
- Realised P&L
- $-917.38
- Volume
- $19.9k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $109.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · Yes | 0.108 | 0.079 | $78.50 | −$29.50 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.700 | $21.00 | −$0.30 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.064 | $5.71 | −$3.29 |
| Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.065 | $4.22 | −$6.17 |
| Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.00at 0.750LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)
- +$95.75at 0.470Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$83.60at 0.507Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
- +$75.03at 0.237Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
- +$55.00at 0.890Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-16 04:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April? | BUY | 0.25 | $14.31 |
| 04-02 00:58 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.19 | $9.50 |
| 03-30 08:10 | Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 03-15 14:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 02-13 15:27 | Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.13 | $8.68 |
| 02-01 20:39 | Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.9972906538 | $171.90 |
| 01-31 00:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.92 | $9.20 |
| 01-31 00:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? | BUY | 0.973 | $10.45 |
| 01-30 22:02 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? | SELL | 0.998 | $98.40 |
| 01-29 14:17 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? | BUY | 0.237 | $23.37 |
| 01-16 20:44 | Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.8479999996 | $50.00 |
| 01-05 08:30 | Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.8739999998 | $99.12 |
| 12-31 04:54 | Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025? | SELL | 0.992 | $9.92 |
| 12-31 04:53 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.996 | $99.60 |
| 12-28 14:56 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |