PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MtPleasant

0x69ef36e0d158fdbb45dd48e3fc16a78201502528

Realised P&L
$-10.45
Volume
$19.0k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$208.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5970.935$110.79+$40.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6200.945$75.60+$26.00
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8840.972$14.57+$1.31
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · Yes0.1700.065$7.67$12.39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$29.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 02:07Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?BUY0.17$20.06
03-14 12:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 14?BUY0.98$48.99
03-13 15:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 13?BUY0.979$48.94
03-13 13:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 13?BUY0.8$7.90
03-13 13:07Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 13?BUY0.9$10.76
03-12 20:00Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY0.74$18.50
03-12 19:37Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?SELL0.962$45.81
03-11 18:27Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?BUY0.001$2.00
03-11 15:20Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?BUY0.7803347574$20.00
03-11 14:32Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?BUY0.001$1.00
03-10 13:35Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 10?BUY0.87$8.70
03-10 12:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 10?BUY0.98$9.80
03-06 19:07Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL0.918$79.87
03-06 14:32Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 5?SELL0.999$17.62
03-06 13:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 6?BUY0.931$9.31