F0000
0x69ebc966345d2113095cae24066620cf5e241f04
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $44.6k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $42.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.649 | 0.935 | $20.17 | +$6.17 |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.335 | $16.75 | +$0.25 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No | 0.600 | 0.935 | $4.67 | +$1.68 |
| Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.016 | $0.66 | −$28.46 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.019 | $0.43 | −$0.57 |
| Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.10 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? · No | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$149.89 |
| Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by October 31? · No | 0.669 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$691.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$932.99at 0.341Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
- +$99.91at 0.630Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$70.50at 0.860Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
- +$52.47at 0.750Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
- +$38.60at 0.900Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 21:22 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64899489 | $14.00 |
| 08-27 09:23 | EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? | SELL | 0.95 | $14.25 |
| 03-22 08:27 | Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31? | BUY | 0.9682221675 | $219.39 |
| 03-22 08:27 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | SELL | 0.982 | $219.39 |
| 03-13 10:02 | Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.615 | $6.15 |
| 03-07 08:56 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | BUY | 0.81 | $14.00 |
| 02-28 19:44 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.0411086844 | $7.13 |
| 02-28 10:09 | European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | SELL | 0.75 | $14.78 |
| 02-28 10:03 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.8319999951 | $6.81 |
| 02-28 10:03 | European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | SELL | 0.76 | $6.81 |
| 02-28 03:41 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 02-18 08:08 | US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $61.77 |
| 02-09 12:53 | European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | BUY | 0.69 | $19.78 |
| 02-09 12:21 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.0449999575 | $1.00 |
| 02-09 04:44 | EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? | BUY | 0.65 | $9.75 |