Poeloep
0x69ddcbd8237d53ed081dc586a184b27464931964
- Realised P&L
- $64.7k
- Volume
- $2.27M
- Markets traded
- 979
- Open portfolio
- $75.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded979
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NEC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.664 | 0.495 | $74.57 | −$25.43 |
| Will Willem II Tilburg win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.001 | $0.83 | −$399.17 |
| Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18? · No | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-05? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.2k |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-13? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.695 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.7k |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-05? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Will PSV win on 2026-09-10? · Yes | 0.632 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.4kat 0.459Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$14.6kat 0.217Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?
- +$13.1kat 0.431Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
- +$12.0kat 0.258Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
- +$9.4kat 0.574Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 20:30 | Will Willem II Tilburg win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.24 | $400.00 |
| 09-19 20:01 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.5k |
| 09-19 20:01 | Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.7195767279 | $3.7k |
| 09-19 20:00 | Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.6537274848 | $2.0k |
| 09-19 19:05 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.2k |
| 09-19 16:51 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.3547895405 | $999.84 |
| 09-19 15:36 | Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.0k |
| 09-19 15:29 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.37 | $2.0k |
| 09-18 20:15 | Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-18? | SELL | 0.18 | $360.00 |
| 09-18 18:48 | Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.25 | $500.00 |
| 09-18 12:55 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.0k |
| 09-14 16:03 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.0k |
| 09-13 16:57 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.5k |
| 09-13 16:52 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | SELL | 0.494883275 | $4.8k |
| 09-13 15:57 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.1919903913 | $1.0k |