0x69d732b6a9541c558892206a5cf22cea9a984c73
- Realised P&L
- $-1.57
- Volume
- $35.97
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $0.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.185 | $0.25 | −$0.75 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.330 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.10at 0.329Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.02at 0.500Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?
- +$0.64at 0.500Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$0.48at 0.679Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?
- +$0.36at 0.590US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 22:28 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 19:35 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.6699996918 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 11:35 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 14:45 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 06:40 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 06:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 22:29 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 08-12 10:02 | Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 08-12 01:55 | Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 14:41 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 06:36 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 00:45 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $1.23 |
| 08-11 00:45 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $1.35 |
| 08-11 00:45 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of August 10 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $1.67 |
| 08-09 22:33 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |