PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

saik360

0x69d1dc32b2a1d9ec677b9bfa34b8ce3ec26db1b9

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$118.7k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1150.163$704.91+$204.91
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.5730.065$567.59$4.4k
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.1420.056$195.06$304.93
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes0.2000.026$132.71$867.28
Will the US strike Iran next? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$250.00
Will the US strike another country first? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$50.00
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$250.00
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31? · No0.0940.000$0.00$503.65
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$1000.00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? · Yes0.1740.000$0.00$332.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.2340.000$0.00$1.5k
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? · Yes0.3950.000$0.00$275.86
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3? · Yes0.1810.000$0.00$1.1k
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00$749.99
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00$499.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-13 15:34US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?BUY0.3933368347$1.0k
03-13 15:33Iran Nuke before 2027?BUY0.1422616002$500.00
03-13 15:30US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.5709531333$1000.00
03-05 18:00Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?BUY0.0471814849$500.00
03-05 17:59Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY0.0665942876$250.00
03-05 17:58Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.6232731727$415.96
03-04 01:20Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?BUY0.0459029198$100.00
03-04 00:28Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.7469999999$498.54
03-03 23:43Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?BUY0.2199391209$500.00
03-03 21:30Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.1582441107$500.00
03-03 21:16Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?BUY0.3092609184$500.00
03-02 00:01Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?BUY0.1299999597$2.55
03-02 00:01Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?BUY0.12$7.20
03-01 23:54Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?SELL0.15$9.75
03-01 23:48Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.3799999997$500.00