saik360
0x69d1dc32b2a1d9ec677b9bfa34b8ce3ec26db1b9
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $118.7k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.200Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.393US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
- +$1.4kat 0.260US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.192Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
- +$1.0kat 0.315Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-13 15:34 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | BUY | 0.3933368347 | $1.0k |
| 03-13 15:33 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.1422616002 | $500.00 |
| 03-13 15:30 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.5709531333 | $1000.00 |
| 03-05 18:00 | Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? | BUY | 0.0471814849 | $500.00 |
| 03-05 17:59 | Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.0665942876 | $250.00 |
| 03-05 17:58 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | SELL | 0.6232731727 | $415.96 |
| 03-04 01:20 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3? | BUY | 0.0459029198 | $100.00 |
| 03-04 00:28 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.7469999999 | $498.54 |
| 03-03 23:43 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3? | BUY | 0.2199391209 | $500.00 |
| 03-03 21:30 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.1582441107 | $500.00 |
| 03-03 21:16 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3? | BUY | 0.3092609184 | $500.00 |
| 03-02 00:01 | Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31? | BUY | 0.1299999597 | $2.55 |
| 03-02 00:01 | Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $7.20 |
| 03-01 23:54 | Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $9.75 |
| 03-01 23:48 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999997 | $500.00 |