BigSi-474
0x69d067d08f35780461d73174df3c97f7c463b0ca
- Realised P&L
- $-491.83
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $16.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 12+ times during the next PMQ? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.028 | $16.80 | −$74.74 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Starmer say "Liz" or "Truss" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · Yes | 0.518 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.77 |
| Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$143.67 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.54 |
| Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Sunday? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.52 |
| Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.48 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday? · Yes | 0.524 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.85at 0.919Will Andy Burnham say "Speaker" 10+ times during the next PMQ?
- +$15.47at 0.818Will Andy Burnham say "Friend" 7+ times during the next PMQ?
- +$9.95at 0.922Will Andy Burnham say "Speaker" 10+ times during the next PMQ?
- +$4.02at 0.940Will Andrew Feinstein win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
- +$1.59at 0.914Will Starmer say "Honorable" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 12:14 | Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 12+ times during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.15 | $90.00 |
| 09-10 12:13 | Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 12+ times during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.54 |
| 09-10 12:10 | Will Andrew Feinstein win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | SELL | 0.991 | $48.55 |
| 09-07 11:37 | Will Andrew Feinstein win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | SELL | 0.99 | $30.69 |
| 09-06 06:39 | Will Andy Burnham say "Friend" 7+ times during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.82 | $41.00 |
| 09-06 06:17 | Will Andy Burnham say "Friend" 7+ times during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.81 | $24.30 |
| 09-05 20:37 | Will Andy Burnham say "Speaker" 10+ times during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.92 | $90.16 |
| 09-02 09:19 | Will Andy Burnham say "Speaker" 10+ times during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.96 | $8.14 |
| 09-02 09:03 | Will Andy Burnham say "Iran" or "Iranian" during the next PMQ? | SELL | 0.42 | $10.50 |
| 09-02 09:02 | Will Andy Burnham say "Speaker" 10+ times during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.95 | $28.50 |
| 09-02 09:01 | Will Andy Burnham say "Iran" or "Iranian" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.45 | $11.25 |
| 09-02 08:55 | Will Andy Burnham say "Speaker" 10+ times during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 06-02 14:00 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0109999996 | $30.54 |
| 05-19 15:27 | Will Starmer say "Liz" or "Truss" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 05-19 15:21 | Will Starmer say "Honorable" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | BUY | 0.9270075556 | $7.84 |