Sandugach
0x69c9b3c004b2415a14e43a09e40cbfd547934c3e
- Realised P&L
- $-76.19
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $46.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KHL: Torpedo vs. HC Dynamo Moscow · Torpedo | 0.570 | 1.000 | $17.54 | +$7.54 |
| KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. Traktor · Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 0.530 | 0.670 | $12.64 | +$2.64 |
| KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. Ak Bars Kazan · Ak Bars Kazan | 0.540 | 0.495 | $9.17 | −$0.83 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.130 | 0.090 | $6.92 | −$3.08 |
| KHL: Amur Khabarovsk vs. Spartak Moscow · Amur Khabarovsk | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| KHL: Admiral Vladivostok vs. Spartak Moscow · Admiral Vladivostok | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1600 and $1700 on Apr 18? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.20at 0.416KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Shanghai Dragons
- +$14.28at 0.275Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$12.24at 0.290Warriors vs. Celtics
- +$11.50at 0.180Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
- +$9.01at 0.598KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 21:39 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 21:33 | KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. Ak Bars Kazan | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 21:33 | KHL: Torpedo vs. HC Dynamo Moscow | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 21:32 | KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | BUY | 0.5742574047 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 21:32 | KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. Traktor | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 21:32 | KHL: Admiral Vladivostok vs. Spartak Moscow | BUY | 0.3899999989 | $7.00 |
| 10-14 11:48 | KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk | BUY | 0.5799999839 | $13.00 |
| 10-13 14:00 | KHL: Amur Khabarovsk vs. Spartak Moscow | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $15.00 |
| 10-06 17:55 | KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Shanghai Dragons | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 04-12 11:45 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1600 and $1700 on Apr 18? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 04-12 11:43 | Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.041 | $1.46 |
| 03-23 11:30 | Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.11 |
| 03-23 11:29 | Will ETH hard fork before April? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.09 |
| 02-23 17:15 | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BUY | 0.069999992 | $8.00 |
| 02-23 17:12 | Will Trump Media invest in Bitcoin before March? | BUY | 0.0372548665 | $1.00 |