0x69C687b831c6795a60bFef4D1a635B67c48d2204-1762258432274
0x69c687b831c6795a60bfef4d1a635b67c48d2204
- Realised P&L
- $-877.88
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $70.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.036 | $70.51 | −$200.49 |
| US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.176 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? · Yes | 0.234 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$413.85 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-14.03at 0.319Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-04 23:21 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999977 | $41.00 |
| 04-04 23:17 | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | BUY | 0.1899999992 | $180.00 |
| 04-04 23:02 | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | BUY | 0.1899999872 | $11.85 |
| 03-26 11:11 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | SELL | 0.14 | $10.97 |
| 03-26 11:06 | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | BUY | 0.2927949704 | $222.00 |
| 03-20 10:48 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1446417799 | $230.00 |
| 03-11 12:06 | US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1758738236 | $200.00 |
| 03-11 11:59 | Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2699999995 | $250.00 |
| 03-09 15:12 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | BUY | 0.3190001743 | $25.00 |