PolyBot

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Traders

Croesus1

0x69b9a231e6d9e8a1be243e3db5174203a33f1284

Realised P&L
$-33.0k
Volume
$532.1k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$3.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? · No0.8490.843$1.2k−$8.39
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.6450.626$1.1k−$31.09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.8600.865$692.00+$4.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? · No0.6700.555$443.99−$92.00
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.7920.855$342.00+$25.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · Yes0.5980.605$151.25+$1.75
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3260.000$0.00−$11.7k
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.3890.000$0.00−$27.2k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 13:54Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?BUY0.66$264.00
10-13 12:15Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.615$113.06
10-13 07:23US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?BUY0.85$161.50
10-13 07:22Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.626$66.96
10-12 16:46US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.87$348.00
10-12 16:45US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.6$120.00
10-12 16:45US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.8$80.00
10-12 16:45Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.643$203.36
10-12 12:24Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.663$80.29
10-09 12:51Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.548$27.40
09-12 07:46Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.21$7.04
09-11 13:07Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.17$59.02
09-11 13:07Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.17$2.1k
09-11 13:06Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.3958261429$554.16
09-11 13:06Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1301818182$716.00