PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Amayav2

0x69b5450118b6395706bd1dc6b5371dbd77676f35

Realised P&L
$161.15
Volume
$7.1k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$219.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 5? · No0.8150.875$219.15+$15.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 08:30Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 5?BUY0.8147616486$204.06
10-04 04:23Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 4?SELL0.999$203.30
10-03 12:56Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 4?BUY0.9522961307$193.80
10-03 09:13Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 3?BUY0.985$191.58
10-03 07:18Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 3?BUY0.9893326736$189.94
10-02 12:01Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 3?BUY0.9365165575$178.30
10-02 11:52Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2?SELL0.999$179.00
10-02 07:34Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2?BUY0.9491954023$41.29
10-02 07:33Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2?BUY0.948$81.22
10-02 07:33Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2?BUY0.948$4.74
10-02 07:32Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2?BUY0.9448888889$42.52
10-02 07:31Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?SELL0.989$170.34
10-01 20:13Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.8709999997$82.73
10-01 20:11Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2?SELL0.8753252584$83.83
10-01 19:43Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.9109999991$70.38