Amayav2
0x69b5450118b6395706bd1dc6b5371dbd77676f35
- Realised P&L
- $161.15
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $219.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 5? · No | 0.815 | 0.875 | $219.15 | +$15.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.07at 0.856Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 1?
- +$16.29at 0.894Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
- +$15.12at 0.788Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 27?
- +$14.84at 0.833Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 28?
- +$11.33at 0.939Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 08:30 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.8147616486 | $204.06 |
| 10-04 04:23 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $203.30 |
| 10-03 12:56 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.9522961307 | $193.80 |
| 10-03 09:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.985 | $191.58 |
| 10-03 07:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.9893326736 | $189.94 |
| 10-02 12:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.9365165575 | $178.30 |
| 10-02 11:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $179.00 |
| 10-02 07:34 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.9491954023 | $41.29 |
| 10-02 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.948 | $81.22 |
| 10-02 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.948 | $4.74 |
| 10-02 07:32 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.9448888889 | $42.52 |
| 10-02 07:31 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.989 | $170.34 |
| 10-01 20:13 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.8709999997 | $82.73 |
| 10-01 20:11 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.8753252584 | $83.83 |
| 10-01 19:43 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.9109999991 | $70.38 |