ewinters
0x69a857f8c056d310e19f4c79d1a98c53b22c821d
- Realised P&L
- $8.03
- Volume
- $11.8k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $13.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings vs. Buccaneers · Vikings | 0.520 | 0.525 | $13.84 | +$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.50at 0.530Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
- +$13.75at 0.640TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
- +$10.48at 0.500Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
- +$6.23at 0.720No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
- +$1.92at 0.360Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:04 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January? | BUY | 0.9819999993 | $2.68 |
| 01-31 14:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.45 |
| 01-30 18:37 | Will Opendoor reach $11.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.82 |
| 01-30 16:04 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.53 |
| 01-30 14:33 | Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $48.80 |
| 01-30 12:11 | Will Opendoor reach $10.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.05 |
| 12-30 14:51 | Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.36 |
| 12-30 14:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.17 |
| 12-30 11:37 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.9949999447 | $15.21 |
| 12-29 20:50 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.996 | $29.61 |
| 12-29 18:07 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $73.62 |
| 10-30 20:12 | Will Tencent have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.90 |
| 10-30 19:03 | Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October? | BUY | 0.992 | $34.35 |
| 09-29 19:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September? | BUY | 0.9979999604 | $10.13 |
| 09-29 17:49 | Will Trump sue Powell by September 30? | BUY | 0.9979999761 | $16.37 |