0x69A15c6b70f6DA08dF2944FA7C6C1b87d1B85FDC-1773069713682
0x69a15c6b70f6da08df2944fa7c6c1b87d1b85fdc
- Realised P&L
- $-25.13
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $56.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? · Yes | 0.515 | 0.800 | $56.33 | +$20.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.99at 0.661Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?
- +$5.14at 0.280Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD end in a draw?
- +$4.90at 0.490Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?
- +$2.56at 0.769Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17?
- +$2.13at 0.760Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:07 | Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.8099999956 | $11.04 |
| 09-17 20:03 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.12 |
| 09-17 18:44 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.7599999964 | $8.46 |
| 09-17 18:43 | Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? | SELL | 0.0608624429 | $8.53 |
| 09-12 11:47 | Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.5399999983 | $12.65 |
| 09-12 11:47 | Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | SELL | 0.384 | $13.26 |
| 09-10 23:00 | Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.569999956 | $2.59 |
| 09-10 22:59 | Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.3709999507 | $2.70 |
| 09-10 22:58 | Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.3470588154 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 22:57 | Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.366999992 | $10.00 |
| 08-22 03:25 | Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? | BUY | 0.2317954772 | $32.49 |
| 08-06 16:35 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.9615971338 | $48.31 |
| 08-01 18:20 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.6499999954 | $27.97 |
| 08-01 18:16 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.6499998683 | $4.69 |
| 08-01 18:14 | The Polymarket Classic: Winner | SELL | 0.89 | $3.86 |