0x6999ac148F99Ec417D19096736a662EB85CFB62a-1758381997287
0x6999ac148f99ec417d19096736a662eb85cfb62a
- Realised P&L
- $-57.24
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $301.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title? · Yes | 0.189 | 0.591 | $301.26 | +$204.78 |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes | 0.294 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$226.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.62at 0.190Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 12?
- +$9.24at 0.530Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
- +$6.45at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
- +$1.22at 0.450Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 11?
- +$0.92at 0.920Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 04:59 | Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title? | BUY | 0.2739998592 | $1.02 |
| 07-30 04:58 | Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title? | SELL | 0.226 | $0.07 |
| 07-30 04:51 | Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title? | SELL | 0.226 | $0.25 |
| 07-30 01:48 | Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title? | BUY | 0.1884851191 | $95.72 |
| 02-09 03:04 | Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 02-08 23:13 | Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | BUY | 0.2699998827 | $1.45 |
| 02-08 23:11 | Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.3289999991 | $126.70 |
| 01-24 23:26 | Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.2589999986 | $99.64 |
| 12-14 15:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $12.49 |
| 12-14 15:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 12-14 14:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 14? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 12-14 14:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 14? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.50 |
| 12-14 14:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 14? | BUY | 0.0220818161 | $1.00 |
| 12-14 13:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 14? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 12-14 13:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 14? | BUY | 0.0599999716 | $1.90 |