Bob2492
0x699796c51969b0d6d630a968bfa14a70db64480f
- Realised P&L
- $-269.53
- Volume
- $43.9k
- Markets traded
- 446
- Open portfolio
- $74.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded446
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$539.10at 0.710Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
- +$512.35at 0.725Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
- +$508.91at 0.731Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
- +$493.87at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
- +$457.85at 0.732Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 03:34 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.477338948 | $32.31 |
| 09-18 03:32 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.36165 | $12.30 |
| 09-18 03:23 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.74 | $12.58 |
| 09-17 22:51 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-17 22:51 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 09-17 22:50 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 09-17 16:42 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 09-17 16:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-17 16:42 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 16:42 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 09-17 16:42 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 09-17 16:42 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 09-17 16:42 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 09-17 16:41 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.8709147655 | $4.40 |
| 09-17 10:09 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |