PolyBot

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Traders

Bob2492

0x699796c51969b0d6d630a968bfa14a70db64480f

Realised P&L
$-269.53
Volume
$43.9k
Markets traded
446
Open portfolio
$74.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded446
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 18? · Yes0.4850.490$49.00+$0.53
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 18? · No0.8300.995$4.97+$0.82
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19? · No0.8900.915$4.58+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 18? · No0.8710.795$4.02$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 18? · No0.5100.565$2.83+$0.28
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18? · No0.6500.485$2.42$0.82
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 18? · No0.5500.445$2.23$0.53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18? · Yes0.3900.380$1.90$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19? · Yes0.2100.175$0.88$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 19? · Yes0.2100.170$0.85$0.20
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 18? · No0.4700.165$0.82$1.52
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 17? · No0.6400.004$0.15$20.97
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 17? · Yes0.3800.001$0.00$1.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET · Down0.4790.000$0.00$2.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET · Down0.4500.000$0.00$4.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 03:34Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 18?BUY0.477338948$32.31
09-18 03:32Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 18?SELL0.36165$12.30
09-18 03:23Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 18?BUY0.74$12.58
09-17 22:51Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 18?BUY0.51$2.55
09-17 22:51Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?BUY0.21$1.05
09-17 22:50Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 17?SELL0.995$4.97
09-17 16:42Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 17?BUY0.38$1.90
09-17 16:42Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18?BUY0.39$1.95
09-17 16:42Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 17?BUY0.6$3.00
09-17 16:42Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 18?BUY0.83$4.15
09-17 16:42Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?BUY0.89$4.45
09-17 16:42Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18?BUY0.65$3.25
09-17 16:42Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.21$1.05
09-17 16:41Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.8709147655$4.40
09-17 10:09Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 18?BUY0.47$2.35