PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0x698aA64F0392F63C3D5AeAE03bb2309b2c0afe0D-1750686877678

0x698aa64f0392f63c3d5aeae03bb2309b2c0afe0d

Realised P&L
$5.4k
Volume
$348.1k
Markets traded
252
Open portfolio
$425.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded252
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.5200.725$362.50+$102.50
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0230.025$50.80+$3.80
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? · Yes0.2900.115$6.90$10.50
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.005$5.50+$0.50
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · No0.9430.000$0.00$1.9k
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200? · No0.3840.000$0.00$23.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-09 00:59Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?BUY0.71$42.60
04-08 20:27Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.75$67.50
04-08 20:27Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.75$105.00
04-08 20:23Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?BUY0.75$2.3k
04-08 20:16Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.75$11.25
04-05 04:28Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?BUY0.92$736.00
03-28 20:52Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?SELL0.998$99.80
03-24 21:53US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.8$2.6k
03-07 04:34Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?BUY0.23$23.00
03-07 04:33Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?BUY0.15$3.45
03-05 05:59US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.59$472.00
03-02 17:04Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.84$419.98
02-15 04:09LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsBUY0.86$859.14
02-15 04:05Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?SELL0.004$3.60
02-15 04:05Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?SELL0.003$0.34