Fantisch
0x698284d8f907af7a0ab7fefa762d17601477640f
- Realised P&L
- $-748.05
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $283.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.045 | $280.79 | −$719.18 |
| Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.004 | $1.61 | −$8.39 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.081 | $1.53 | −$2.47 |
| Will Moderate Party (M) win less than 16% of all valid votes? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.04 |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? · No | 0.638 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Manchester United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.81at 0.543Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?
- +$18.70at 0.532Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-29?
- +$4.88at 0.512Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$-21.14at 0.449Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 22:11 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $20.00 |
| 09-13 22:10 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.1569988107 | $250.00 |
| 09-13 22:10 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.15 | $250.00 |
| 09-13 21:57 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.1388888889 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 21:54 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.1499999997 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 21:53 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.16 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 21:51 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.1699999995 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 21:50 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.1699999995 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 21:48 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.1696606783 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 21:47 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.1699999995 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 21:46 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 09-13 21:45 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 09-13 21:44 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.169517553 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 20:32 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.32 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 22:19 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.4249999958 | $20.00 |