PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x698031Eb48a77639F9Ff646B723f476D12F24e9d-1720708318247

0x698031eb48a77639f9ff646b723f476d12f24e9d

Realised P&L
$-397.67
Volume
$26.6k
Markets traded
149
Open portfolio
$71.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded149
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · Yes0.3000.255$51.00$9.00
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0480.064$12.70+$3.10
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1800.080$7.95$10.05
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00$3.70
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$56.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00$70.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 13:02Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.173$8.65
05-31 00:38Starmer out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.68$136.00
05-24 05:28Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.04$1.20
05-19 11:31Starmer out by May 31, 2026?SELL0.077$7.70
05-12 01:58 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUY0.28$56.00
05-09 13:14Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?SELL0.99$19.80
05-08 06:55Starmer out by May 15, 2026?BUY0.905$146.18
04-30 12:31MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?SELL0.58$11.60
04-30 12:30MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?SELL0.59$4.72
04-11 01:06Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?BUY0.68$10.59
04-04 11:43Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?BUY0.9$90.00
04-04 11:42MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?BUY0.91$91.00
04-04 11:39US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.95$199.50
04-04 11:15Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.361$4.28
04-04 11:14Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.361$18.12