PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x171603454d394349e04cF7f78baf312a59EC2876-1778785277776

0x697ea738bd8cfcc4617ce4833941f51ebf799904

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$177.6k
Markets traded
656
Open portfolio
$8.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded656
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? · Yes0.0900.080$4.44−$0.56
Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? · No0.0900.007$1.94−$23.06
Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0700.013$1.79−$8.21
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? · No0.1000.007$0.38−$4.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 14:02Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 6?BUY0.4299999991$5.00
10-05 13:46Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?SELL0.91$1.10
10-05 13:45Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.844$4.84
06-03 11:53MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.004$8.00
06-03 11:52Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.39$2.29
06-03 11:51Will the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?SELL0.94$5.05
06-03 11:50Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.029$1.06
06-02 22:43MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.0109999892$1.00
06-02 22:40MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.0109999996$30.00
06-02 22:39Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.052$13.75
06-02 22:38Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.02$19.94
05-19 18:17Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.58$7.73
05-19 18:09Starmer out by May 31, 2026?SELL0.939$42.87
05-19 16:18Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Lucie HavlickovaSELL0.7$6.66
05-19 16:14GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Emiliana Arango vs Ella SeidelSELL0.8$7.14