0x171603454d394349e04cF7f78baf312a59EC2876-1778785277776
0x697ea738bd8cfcc4617ce4833941f51ebf799904
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $177.6k
- Markets traded
- 656
- Open portfolio
- $8.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded656
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.080 | $4.44 | −$0.56 |
| Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.090 | 0.007 | $1.94 | −$23.06 |
| Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.013 | $1.79 | −$8.21 |
| Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.100 | 0.007 | $0.38 | −$4.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$546.43at 0.410Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina
- +$523.47at 0.354Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
- +$495.03at 0.339Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
- +$477.85at 0.293Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
- +$463.65at 0.298Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Inaki Montes
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 14:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 13:46 | Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.10 |
| 10-05 13:45 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.844 | $4.84 |
| 06-03 11:53 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.00 |
| 06-03 11:52 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.39 | $2.29 |
| 06-03 11:51 | Will the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $5.05 |
| 06-03 11:50 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.029 | $1.06 |
| 06-02 22:43 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 22:40 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0109999996 | $30.00 |
| 06-02 22:39 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.052 | $13.75 |
| 06-02 22:38 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.02 | $19.94 |
| 05-19 18:17 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.58 | $7.73 |
| 05-19 18:09 | Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.939 | $42.87 |
| 05-19 16:18 | Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Lucie Havlickova | SELL | 0.7 | $6.66 |
| 05-19 16:14 | GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Emiliana Arango vs Ella Seidel | SELL | 0.8 | $7.14 |