canyouunderstand2
0x697d2367afc4b6d4819e851375cf39ed2f94b2a8
- Realised P&L
- $-102.77
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 187
- Open portfolio
- $64.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded187
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.13at 0.566Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
- +$7.43at 0.508Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
- +$5.71at 0.169Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
- +$5.07at 0.180Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
- +$4.50at 0.190Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 07:32 | Will Taylor Fritz Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings | SELL | 0.51 | $20.81 |
| 09-17 12:06 | Will Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.24 | $9.90 |
| 09-17 11:12 | Will London have between 60-70mm of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.0212550153 | $2.50 |
| 09-17 01:35 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election by 35%-40%? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.40 |
| 09-16 10:36 | Will Fernando Mendoza have 6.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.4 | $16.32 |
| 09-16 04:56 | Will White House post 200+ posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $20.91 |
| 09-14 12:18 | Will Barcelona score the most goals in the UCL league phase? | SELL | 0.44 | $11.00 |
| 09-14 00:33 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 98.00 in September? | SELL | 0.29 | $6.67 |
| 09-13 16:49 | Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting? | SELL | 0.022600576 | $5.02 |
| 09-12 21:09 | Will Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election? | SELL | 0.26 | $7.76 |
| 09-12 19:57 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $8.06 |
| 09-12 19:54 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4351386555 | $10.36 |
| 09-10 16:14 | Will Erwin Wiens win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election? | SELL | 0.48 | $10.43 |
| 09-10 16:13 | Will Erwin Wiens win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election? | BUY | 0.51 | $14.28 |
| 09-10 15:00 | Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August? | SELL | 0.56 | $15.65 |