PolyBot

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Traders

0x69651E53dA53897c34aB44Cd68e37269CDb8Ef08-1762103589650

0x69651e53da53897c34ab44cd68e37269cdb8ef08

Realised P&L
$436.41
Volume
$37.7k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$3.06

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration66.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0050.002$3.06$6.93
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$30.00
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$10.00
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$20.00
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$50.00
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$50.00
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$217.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-28 13:08Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?BUY0.005$30.00
03-21 01:35Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETBUY0.629999988$9.73
03-09 02:41Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0048957275$10.00
02-28 14:05Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.32$320.60
02-28 13:11Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.049905479$50.00
02-27 02:22US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.0899999986$56.13
02-27 02:22US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?BUY0.0369999983$20.00
02-27 02:22US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?BUY0.003$10.00
02-18 19:24US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?BUY0.0279999995$50.00
02-18 19:24U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?SELL0.1331196$66.56
02-12 17:35U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?BUY0.18$90.00
02-09 22:45US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?BUY0.032$50.00
01-07 21:35New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? BUY0.011$108.76
01-07 21:23New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? BUY0.011$5.50
01-07 20:15New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? BUY0.0122073896$103.00