0x696342cef98e4be7fd4a4d19a43f0b8a81340af4
0x696342cef98e4be7fd4a4d19a43f0b8a81340af4
- Realised P&L
- $-4.53
- Volume
- $443.13
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $2.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.625 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.270 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.037 | $0.09 | −$0.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.43at 0.389US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.18at 0.227Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$3.63at 0.410Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$3.54at 0.672SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?
- +$2.74at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 04:30 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 14:49 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 02:36 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 04:48 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:46 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:32 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:32 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 17:35 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:26 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 07:41 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:26 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:04 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:51 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in September? | BUY | 0.4189999728 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:16 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 09:23 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |